Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 4.608884 4.988468 5.398326 5.876158 6.421000 7.026584 7.755777
2025-04-06 3.904131 4.409575 4.992846 5.724810 6.632201 7.738855 9.221277
2025-04-13 3.476819 4.036098 4.710283 5.600031 6.771032 8.302676 10.537555
2025-04-20 3.193801 3.785644 4.523500 5.537008 6.938099 8.883765 11.950222
2025-04-27 3.050769 3.686592 4.504689 5.672462 7.367416 9.870754 14.159437
2025-05-04 2.929484 3.599287 4.485073 5.793488 7.779249 10.888978 16.680741
2025-05-11 2.780117 3.459644 4.377629 5.770830 7.963222 11.569307 18.798007
2025-05-18 2.638532 3.318644 4.254030 5.706904 8.066611 12.122866 20.834894
2025-05-25 2.483339 3.148022 4.074384 5.538421 7.974210 12.307797 22.151071
2025-06-01 2.360240 3.014812 3.938949 5.424668 7.956801 12.622950 23.868114
2025-06-08 2.283281 2.942301 3.886824 5.436224 8.154144 13.383104 26.974386
2025-06-15 2.236982 2.910690 3.892481 5.539833 8.526401 14.570638 31.822266
2025-06-22 2.124066 2.779789 3.744966 5.386811 8.424516 14.772226 34.049682
2025-06-29 2.023284 2.662919 3.613709 5.253222 8.349115 15.033808 36.719576
2025-07-06 1.936478 2.562541 3.501998 5.143502 8.305918 15.362139 39.886403
2025-07-13 1.868506 2.487188 3.425179 5.088058 8.363885 15.950838 44.571419
2025-07-20 1.842351 2.473792 3.445880 5.207154 8.797036 17.613273 55.780083
2025-07-27 1.815044 2.456920 3.459319 5.313409 9.219086 19.391089 70.582024
2025-08-03 1.765424 2.402825 3.407934 5.293527 9.357802 20.398687 82.874017
2025-08-10 1.712407 2.341118 3.340471 5.237407 9.405776 21.147714 95.167617
2025-08-17 1.646122 2.255949 3.229491 5.089300 9.219691 21.093187 100.862431
2025-08-24 1.592016 2.188403 3.145662 4.989141 9.138659 21.382024 110.978990
2025-08-31 1.559972 2.155010 3.118654 4.999322 9.328842 22.685050 137.068938